Facts: GDP in the 2nd Quarter of 2018 was revised up 4.2%, according to the 2nd estimate. The S&P 500 posted a solid gain of 3.26%. Unemployment remained at 3.9%. PMI, again, posted another stellar month of expansion, with the index reading 61.3%. Assessment: Unemployment is very low, again. 4.2% quarterly GDP is amazing and
Facts: The initial estimate for 2018’s 2nd quarter’s GDP came in at a solid 4%, and the final estimate for 2018’s 1st quarter’s GDP was revised up to 2.2%. The S&P 500 posted a solid gain of 3.72%. Unemployment dropped to 3.9%. PMI, again, posted another stellar month of expansion, with the index reading 58.3%. Assessment:
Facts: Unemployment rose to 4%. The S&P 500 posted a modest gain of 0.6%. PMI, again, posted another stellar month of expansion, with the index reading 60%. The 1st estimate for 2018’s 1st quarter’s GDP was revised down to 2%. And the 2017 4th quarter final number was lowered to 2.9% To read the rest of this month’s
Facts: Unemployment dropped even further, to 3.8%. The S&P 500 posted a solid 2.41% gain. PMI, again, posted another stellar month of expansion, with the index reading 58.7%. The 1st estimate for 2018’s 1st quarter’s GDP was revised down to 2.2%. Assessment: The Unemployment report is almost too exciting. These levels are flirting with employment levels not
Facts: The S&P 500 had ANOTHER drop of 2.55%. PMI, again, posted another solid month of expansion, with the index increasing to 59.3%. The 3rd estimate for the 4th quarter’s GDP was increased to 2.7%. Unemployment was stable at 4.1%. It’s been at 4.1% for 5 months. Assessment: Although the S&P losses over the past two
March 12, 2018 Facts: The S&P 500 had a HUGE drop of 3.7%. PMI, again, had explosive growth, up almost a full percent from last month to 60.8%. The 2nd estimate for the 4th quarter’s GDP is 2.5%. Unemployment was stable at 4.1%. It’s been at 4.1% for 4 months. Assessment: If we could ignore
February 12, 2017 4:22 am Published by Stephen Zelcer Facts: Signs were split this month. The S&P 500 gained close to 1%. The three month return was a hefty 7.95%! PMI had a whopping increase to 56.0, from 54.7. This is the first time PMI has broken 55 since November 2014. GDP growth for the 4th quarter
Definitions Early outs and buyouts are in the air, and federal employees are scrambling to make their retirement decisions. Below are the technical details that surround early outs and buyouts. Those who know the technical details can skip to the very end of the article where I deal with the pressing question of “Should you do it?” First,
May 15, 2017 2:29 pm Published by Stephen Zelcer Alrighty! The May TSP Planning Report is out! Once again, the environment is favoring stock investing. C fund and S funds are looking good. Even the I fund shows signs of normalcy. So, Take a look at some of the more aggressive portfolios. You may be surprised to
April 27, 2017 7:38 am Published by Stephen Zelcer The following is an excerpt from my monthly TSP report that I’ve created to guide Federal Employees in allocating their money in the Thrift Savings Plan. Facts: Of the four broad economic indicators, three were positive this month. Unemployment was improved, down to 4.5% which is 0.2% lower than it
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